| August Payroll Numbers Misreported by BLS |
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| The U.S. lost another 54,000 jobs in August, but the BLS reported a gain of 67,000 private sector jobs. Most of these jobs were in the two government supported sectors of Health Care/Social Services and Education. The BLS press release stated that 28,000 health care jobs were created, but the data set indicated 40,200. Three years after the first job losses in August 2007, there is still little evidence of a jobs recovery in the actual private sector. - 09-03-2010 |
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| Is Current Bearishness Actually Bullish for Stocks? |
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| There's been much talk about a September meltdown. Following the recent declines, investor sentiment surveys have turned deeply bearish and more and more small investors seem to exit the market. Is this the signal for a market bottom? - 09-02-2010 |
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| Contradictory Reports on Employment Explained |
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| There were four reports in the first two day of September that dealt with employment. While there was some contradiction in them, the evidence is still mostly showing the unemployment situation is not improving. - 09-02-2010 |
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| Stocks Soar on Inflationary News |
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| Stocks had a massive rally that began with the index futures in the pre-market. Despite a ADP employment report indicating private sector job losses, the rally continued into the opening. A manufacturing report in China set off the rally, but the details indicated lots of inflation amid a weakening factory sector. - 09-01-2010 |
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| Stocks Vulnerable to Selling in September |
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| The Dow Industrials will end August down around 4%. September could be much worse however since the technical condition of the market continues to weaken. If the economic numbers show the economy continues to move down, the market is likely to fall right along with it. - 08-31-2010 |
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| Now We Have 'Stimulus You Can Believe In' |
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| Japan has announced yet another stimulus program today - one in a long line of stimulus programs in the last 20 years. The others have failed to revive the economy and there is no reason to believe this one will be any more effective. The U.S. Fed is talking about more stimulus as well - also an indication that its past stimulus efforts have not worked and the U.S. economy is falling into a double-dip recession. - 08-30-2010 |
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| Q2 GDP Revison Shows Economy Losing Steam |
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| Q2 GDP was revised down to 1.6% from 2.4%. The 1.6% level indicates an economy that is treading water and not expanding fast enough to create new jobs. Even worse, more than half of second quarter growth was accounted for by government spending and not the private sector. - 08-27-2010 |
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