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January Up – Now There’s a 92.3% Chance that 2012 Will be a Good Year
The results are in: The January Barometer along with two other seasonal indicators project a positive 2012. There’s a 92.3% chance that stocks will be up in 2012. That sounds great until you consider that the same odds applied to 2011. - 02-03-2012
 
How the EU’s Membership Standard Became a Farce
The European Union has provided tough talk about how its policies and standards for membership will lead to economic growth and stability. But a closer look at the EU's conduct shows how it's an organization ruled by rogue members who have turned it into a first class circus. - 01-30-2012
 
The Fed's Dirty Little Secret - QE3 is Already Here
Psst - Did you know that QE3 is already in force? Just because the Fed doesn’t want you to know doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. Here’s how QE3 looks and how to trade and invest around it. - 01-27-2012
 
Hedging a High Yield Idea
It's inexpensive to hedge the high yield ETF JNK now. Here's how to do it. - 01-25-2012
 
Will QE3 Hopium Propel Stocks?
The market’s performance is eerily similar to that of early 2011. Momentum and hopium in the Fed keeps pushing stocks higher while the market and economic fundaments are deteriorating. Will the result be the same? - 01-25-2012
 
CNBC: When Will ETFs Break Into 401(k) Business?
By Bob Pisani: When will ETFs break into the 401(k) business? It's been a hot topic for years but there's been little progress. The problem: 1) handling fractional share purchases and 2) resistance from institutions and advisors who would make less money using ETFs. - 01-25-2012
 
Has The Market's Up Side Momentum Been Broken?
Momentum is strong but stocks are overbought. Doesn’t this sound like the beginning of 2011? Back then, stocks continued to grind a bit higher but nasty corrections quickly erased gains and the growing enthusiasm. - 01-23-2012
 
Is the IMF’s $600 Billion Plan too Late for Europe?
The International Monetary Fund has a big plan that involves a large sum of money. And it's just the sort of sum that will quell Europe's financial crisis and the economic fallout from it. What is the plan and is it too late? - 01-19-2012
 
Gutsy Call - A Top Seems to Be Building
Why bother bucking the trend when it’s so easy just to follow the crowd and revel in the anonymity of herding? Fishing for market tops is hugely unpopular and difficult, but generally worth the effort. Here’s why a top seems closer than most believe. - 01-17-2012
 
Why the EU Debt Crisis Isn't Being Fixed
While the EU has pumped a great deal of money into its banking system in order to handle its debt crisis, most of the money is winding right back at the ECB instead of going into the economy. This liquidity trap is preventing stimulus measures from being successful. A weakening economy and more sovereign downgrades should be expected. - 01-16-2012
 
Retail Sales and Employment Now Look More Recessionary
New figures for December retail sales indicate they were barely up. Adjusted for inflation, they weren't. Weekly employment claims returned to recessionary levels in the first week of 2012. - 01-12-2012
 
Should You Buy into the Wall Street Spin Machine?
Despite Europe's ongoing sovereign debt crisis and China's stalling growth, the media continues to mislead the public with a false portrayal of the global economy and market. "The bigger the lie, the more people will believe it" saying seems to be the case. - 01-10-2012
 
Will the Euro Continue to Rally?
The euro has been falling while U.S. stocks are rallying. This is unusual and contrary to the pair’s customary correlation. Will the euro drag down U.S. stocks, or is the euro about to decouple? - 01-09-2012
 
The Art of Statistical Manipulaton -- The December Jobs Report
The BLS claims that the U.S. unemployment rate fell to 8.5% in December. A more reasonable analysis indicates it is actually 9.6%. The quality of jobs being produced by the economy is also poor with couriers and messengers having the biggest increase last month. - 01-06-2012
 
Why Deflation Creates a Risk of Hyperinflation
Since the 2008 Credit Crisis, mainstream economists have constantly cited the risk of deflation to the global economy and have used this to justify highly expansionary money-printing policies. History shows however that deflation combined with money printing can be a formula for creating hyperinflation. - 01-04-2012
 
2012 Off to a Good Start – Will it Last?
January has started off with a bang. January also jumped out of the gate in 2008, 2009 and 2010 but quickly fizzled away. Will this year’s January rally last? - 01-03-2012
 
Crises in Europe, China and Japan Will Impact Markets in 2012
2012 promises to be an even choppier year for the market than 2011. The debt/banking crisis in Europe has yet to be solved, a new real estate crisis in beginning in China, and Japan is likely to have trouble funding its government debt this year. - 01-03-2012
 
Will Gold and Silver Regain Strength and Become the Safe Haven They’re Supposed to be?
Gold has lost its reputation as safe haven and morphed from the trade that works in all markets to the trade that works in no market. Can gold regain its strength and become, once again, the safe haven it’s supposed to be? - 12-30-2011
 
Gold and Silver Dropping in 2011 Before Rallying in 2012
Gold and silver are in temporary selloffs and are not likely to hit a bottom for a while. Long-term investors should get ready to increase their positions when they do. Targets are given for gauging when to buy. - 12-30-2011
 
Volatility Suggests Falling Stock Prices
After 12 troublesome months, the major U.S. indexes seem primed to end 2011 on a high note. Is this the beginning of another mini bull market or a good opportunity to get out of stocks? - 12-28-2011
 
Foolish Business Moments in 2011
This year's most foolish moments in business were brought to us by Standard & Poor's, the University of Chicago, and even the great Warren Buffett. And heading into 2012, the bull market in dumb and stupid, still isn't over. - 12-28-2011
 
Optimism Returns to Wall Street - Is it Time to Sell?
The S&P is about to end 2011 where it started it, but sandwiched between the beginning and end of the year was a wild roller coaster ride. Wall Street added to investors’ motion sickness by consistently pointing in the wrong direction. - 12-23-2011
 
Does Your Portfolio Pass or Fail?
As 2011 nears its end, right now is a good time for all investors to analyze their investments. Where should they start? In this article, we look at three key areas. - 12-21-2011
 
Housing Starts Now Only 28% of 2006 Level
November Housing Start numbers came in at 635,000, less than 28% of what they were at the peak in 2006. Despite the numbers still being depressed, this has been reported as an indication of progress in the economy. It is not. The statistical error rate is so huge that the numbers are subject to easy manipulation. They should be treated as meaningless. - 12-20-2011
 
Are U.S. Treasuries Still a Good Bet?
Perhaps no investment category has frustrated more Wall Street experts than the incredible rise in U.S. Treasuries. Boring long-term government bonds beat this year's performance in stocks and even precious metals. What lies ahead for them in 2012? - 12-19-2011
 
Gold Acting Like It Did in 2008
Gold broke key support on December 14th and this indicates more selling in the future. Why gold is selling down and where it might bottom is discussed. - 12-15-2011
 
Why ETFs will soon dominate retirement plans
Mutual funds are losing assets and popularity. The market is heading unquestionably in the direction of ETFs with ever greater momentum and there is no indication that this will change. As a result, it is unrealistic to expect that mutual funds will retain their asset dominance in retirement plans for much longer. An objective look at the data supports this. - 12-15-2011
 
'401k Manifesto' advocates a shift to ETFs
Where’s the evidence for a 401k revolution? Right here. The 401k Manifesto™ calls for a revolution in the retirement industry, the core of which is an entirely new structure designed around exclusively offering Exchange Traded Funds as investment options. This presents the only truly viable way to enact the type of technological change participants urgently need to build higher average retirement balances on a macro scale. - 12-14-2011
 
Dollar Rises as Gold and Silver Sink.
Gold and silver plummeted after New York opened on December 14th. This was related to the euro falling below 1.30 and a breakout of the U.S. dollar. The ongoing crisis in the eurozone is impacting all markets and making it risky to be on the long side of anything except the dollar. - 12-14-2011
 
Rewarding Henry Paulson’s Ethical Failures
Hank Paulson's inside tip to hedge funds about Fannie Mae's 2008 rescue gives new meaning to the phrase "Hanky Panky." - 12-14-2011
 
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