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 Research |
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Is This Rally Out of Sync With The Economy? |
| Economic numbers continue to disappoint, while the stock market extends its rally. This discrepancy between reality and perception is unhealthy and can’t endure for much longer. Either the stock market bull or economy bear will prevail, as a bull and bear cannot coexist at the same time…… and the winner is …
- 08-03-2009 |
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Is Now A Good Time To Exit From Buy-and Hold Investing? |
| Never change a winning team … but what about a losing strategy? Buy-and hold investing, with or without dollar cost averaging, has been a losing proposition for over a decade. Is the market’s rally an indication that buy-and hold is back in style or is it your final chance to sell-and stay put? Extraordinary events require extraordinary actions; this might be one of those.
- 07-30-2009 |
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Is The Emerging Markets Rally Sustainable? |
| The parallels between the 2007 market top and today’s investment environment are eerily similar. Emerging markets outperformed U.S. stocks by 30% then and do so again today. Credit is being pumped in the system and China’s economy seems to be the key to new prosperity. According to history and many other indicators, your portfolio is in serious danger.
- 07-28-2009 |
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Dow 10,000 Yes - But At What Cost? |
| The 42% rally from the March lows either means that a new bull market has started or that stocks have become really bloated. Recent earnings surprises support the bullish case. The reality behind the numbers however paints a bleak picture. Are you pushing your luck by staying in the market? - 07-21-2009 |
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Crude Oil's Collapse Is Coming |
| What factors will lead crude oil pricing in the future? Supply/Demand, Correlation, Deflation, Reinvestment, Capacity, Contango, and several others discussed. - 07-21-2009 |
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Financial Chess – What’s the Next Move? |
| Successful chess players focus on the offense. They analyze the board and play to win, always staying one move ahead of their opponent. The same holds true for investors. Rather than reacting to the market, they anticipate the market’s next move. Failure to do so will result in financial checkmate. What’s the market’s next move? Here’s a preview. - 07-20-2009 |
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How To Make Sense of Earnings Reports |
| A wave of positive earnings surprises has sparked excitement for an accelerated recovery. Even though companies are meeting or exceeding their expected earnings, Wall Street omits the fact that the current targets are up to 80% lower than past earnings. Are meeting such low-ball expectations enough to lift stocks to new heights? History shows that positive earnings often are actually the last nail in the coffin. Here’s what to watch out for. - 07-16-2009 |
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3 Income Strategies You Should Retire |
| Would you jump on a sinking ship simply because it’s moving in the right direction? Silly question you might say. Nevertheless, millions of investors choose dividend and income funds simply because they pay an interest return, even though the funds are losing principal. Here are three dangerous income strategies and one strategy that works.
- 07-14-2009 |
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Did Real Estate Prices Really Bottom? |
| If you are looking for sprouting real estate green shoots, you don’t have to dig too deep to find them. But ask yourself, have the sources that are nurturing those alleged green shoots proven to have a green thumb? Wasn’t Wall Street cheering on financials all throughout the 2008 meltdown? Will questioning the recent good news protect your portfolio from another meltdown?
- 07-10-2009 |
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Green Shoots in Housing? |
| The recent housing market has contributed to the recent market rally. But, is it for real? - 07-09-2009 |
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Short, Mid and Long Term – Where are Stocks Headed? |
| The major indexes have dropped nearly 10% since their recent recovery highs. Investors who got in too late are losing money, yet again. The joy of making money is, once again, overtaken by the fear of losing money. Should you hold, sell or even buy? Here’s what reliable indicators have to say.
- 07-08-2009 |
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3 Big Profit Opportunities for Right Now |
| Who doesn’t like instant gratification? Investors like to see their decisions pay off right away without delay. Rather than generating fresh gains, the recent rally has simply erased some of the sizeable losses incurred in 2008 and early 2009. Here are three opportunities that will benefit you right now. - 07-06-2009 |
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How News and Statistics Fool Investors |
| A chain is only as strong as its weakest link. An investment portfolio is only as strong as the research it’s based upon. But what if the research is flawed or misapplied? Many indicators we hear about on a daily basis only have a contrarian application, as such, most investors follow statistics to their detriment. Imagine your results, having invested the opposite of what you actually did over the past 2 years. Well, we can’t change the past, but here’s how to turn things around for the future. - 07-01-2009 |
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Deflation or Inflation – What’s the True Enemy? |
| Has Wall Street and the financial media been a trustworthy source of information when it comes to making investment decisions? No. They missed the entire 55% meltdown from October 2007 to March 2009, and subsequent 40% rally. Do you really think you can trust them on the issue of inflation vs. deflation? Here are some facts you can actually rely on. - 06-30-2009 |
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ETF Triangles For DIY Hedging |
| How an investor can create hedging positions with ETFs using low-correlated triangles - 06-29-2009 |
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Are The March Lows In Danger Of Being Broken? |
| After a 40% bounce, the March rally has hit a few roadblocks. Is this just part of the digestion process, or are the March lows in danger of being retested, or even breached? In this article, we matched up the opinions of a few brilliant minds against accurate stock market indicators. - 06-25-2009 |
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Will A Strong Dollar Crush Stocks, Silver, and Gold? |
| The recent drop in stock, gold, and silver prices has largely been credited to a stronger US dollar. Is there a relationship between the Greenback and other asset classes? Will the US dollar continue to surge? If so, are new lows next for US stocks? - 06-23-2009 |
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Mutual Fund Stories for June |
| Funds that are losing to VFINX, VTSMX, SPY and DIA - 06-19-2009 |
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B.R.I.C Battle: BIK vs. BKF |
| Which ETF is the better investment for BRIC exposure, BIK or BKF? - 06-18-2009 |
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Is Another Meltdown Possible, Even Likely? |
| To be or not to be, that is the question William Shakespeare asked some 400 years ago. To sell or not to sell, is the question investors ask themselves today. Ironically, the correct answer to “sell or not to sell” will determine the future “to be” for many.
- 06-18-2009 |
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Will Rising Oil Prices Stifle The Economy? |
| If you think stocks have enjoyed a nice rally, look at oil. Since the 2009 lows, oil prices have doubled. Why? Is oil running out, and will rising oil prices put a damper on the still fragile economy?
- 06-17-2009 |
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3 Factors That Should Worry The Bulls |
| Stocks have rallied nearly 40% since the March lows. Many investors see themselves at crossroads; is it time to sell at current levels or should you hold out for more gains. The vote ,coming from 3 short and long-term indicators, is unanimous.
- 06-15-2009 |
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Are Banks And Financial Stocks Out Of The Woods? |
| Financial stocks have rallied over 100% since their March lows. Will the momentum carry stocks to new recovery highs, or will a break in momentum signal a major decline? A look at the fundamentals (or lack thereof) behind the recent advance, provides a strong clue.
- 06-11-2009 |
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Leveraged ETFs – 3 Lessons You Shouldn’t Learn the Hard Way |
| Leveraged ETFs spilt the opinions of the ETF community. Some love them, others hate them. One thing is for sure, leveraged ETFs are powerful tools with the potential to make you rich or poor,in a hurry. Here are a few lessons that will help you avoid getting creamed.
- 06-09-2009 |
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Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Stocks, and the US Dollar – Where are they Headed? |
| For the first time in years, the performance of nearly all asset classes is conforming to the predictions of Wall Street, the financial media, and the average investor. Is this an indication of better days ahead, or are the major asset classes at the cusp of a composite decoy move?
- 06-05-2009 |
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Not So Fast, My Friend |
| It appears the good times are here again on Wall Street. Green shoots are popping up everywhere. Is Wall Street climbing a wall of worry or looking through rose colored glasses? - 06-03-2009 |
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V – L – U – What Shape Will The Recovery Be? |
| There has been much talk about an economic recovery lately. Without analyzing WHETHER a recovery is even validated, the focus of attention has shifted to the actual shape of a recovery. Rather than getting caught up by wishful thinking, we actually bothered to take a look at the big picture. Sooner or later, the missing link in the above chain of reasoning will become painfully obvious.
- 06-03-2009 |
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Will the 'New Dow' Shatter The 200-Day Moving Average? |
| For the first time in over a year, the Dow is actually challenging the 200-day moving average. Adding two new components to the Dow may provide the boost needed to break above this significant trend line. Would such a break, however, mean that the worst is over, or is another collapse still possible?
- 06-02-2009 |
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Is Diversification A Strategy Of The Past? |
| When it comes to investing, the year 2008 marked a year of change. Along with the biggest drop since the Great Depression, the stock market invalidated many of Wall Street’s strategies. Has diversification lived up to its reputation, or is it headed for extinction?
- 05-28-2009 |
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Three Sectors to Put on Your Sell List |
| Will the March lows hold? How much life is left in this rally? Should I cash out or hold out for more gains? Which sectors are the most vulnerable to upcoming events? The answers to these questions are the most important ingredients of your financial success. Don’t allow yourself to be caught by surprise.
- 05-26-2009 |
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