|
 Research |
| |
|
The Sobering Truth Behind Unemployment Numbers |
| “Employers have added most jobs in 3 years” is the information conveyed by Wall Street. In reality, jobless workers have remained stagnant for three months and it will take nothing short of a miracle to get back to pre-2007 conditions. But, what does the market say? - 04-05-2010 |
| |
|
Government Hiring Doesn't Indicate Economic Recovery |
| March employment was up 162,000, but not because the economy is better. The real unemployment figure released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics actually recorded a 0.1% increase. What would unemployment look like without massive government hiring? - 04-02-2010 |
| |
|
Oil Breaking Out of Trading Range |
| Oil is acting bullish, rising above a many month trading range. - 04-01-2010 |
| |
|
Dow 11,000 - How Much Upside is Left? |
| Do stocks represent real value at current prices or are they a potential hot potato? Perception drives demand and demand for stocks are high right now. But what drives demand and can the current demand be sustained? - 03-31-2010 |
| |
|
U.S. Treasuries Become Riskier Than Corporate Bonds |
| Swap spreads indicate that treasuries riskier than corporate bonds. - 03-31-2010 |
| |
|
Why the Eurozone Support Plan for Greece is Bound to Fail |
| Eurozone plan to handle the Greek debt crisis doesn't solve the problem. - 03-27-2010 |
| |
|
Why Stocks are Extremely Overbought |
| The 21st century has been filled with extremes. We saw three bubbles build and collapse. Despite another 75% rally, no one seems concerned about another bubble. Well, that’s exactly the stuff bubbles are made off. Will another extreme decline follow the decade of extremes? - 03-25-2010 |
| |
|
Oddities that could Topple the Market |
| There are two types of investors. One takes any gain they can get, no matter what – this strategy works only in a bull market. The other looks behind the scenes trying to figure out what’s next. If you think the market’s performance has been unusual, you might be onto something. - 03-23-2010 |
| |
|
What or Who is Driving up Prices? |
| This rally has broken more records and set more historic extremes than any other rally in history. Investors haven’t had to deal with a decline of 0.25% or more, in over three weeks. What is driving this rally and how far can it go? - 03-19-2010 |
| |
|
17.9 Percent Real Unemployment - How Solid is the Recovery? |
| The unemployment picture painted by today’s jobs report headlines is much rosier than reality. Still, they were enough to provide a serious pop for stocks. What are the real numbers and will reality seriously ding the market? - 03-05-2010 |
| |
|
Is The New Bull Market Just a Hoax? |
| The small shock induced by the late January decline has been forgotten. Wall Street sees no reason for stocks to decline, even though a number of key components of the economy are in bad shape. For investors right now, it’s about being in the right assets at the right time. What are those? - 03-04-2010 |
| |
|
Is S&P 1,100 Another Chance for the Bears? |
| So far, S&P 1,150 is the high for the year. Immediately following the high, the S&P dropped to 1,045 in just a few days and thereby damaged a number of previously bullish technicals. The S&P has not recovered to 1,100. Is this the second and final chance for the bears? - 02-23-2010 |
| |
|
The Mystery of the Price to Earnings Ratios solved |
| More investors are willing to buy stocks at Dow 10,000 than they were at Dow 7,000. After a 70% plus rally, shouldn’t valuations become a concern? This article dissects the different forms of P/E ratios and its significance in pin-pointing a market bottom.
- 02-16-2010 |
| |
|
Can Emerging Markets Kick-Start the World Indexes? |
| As of late, the U.S. market seems to be in a funk. The recent decline has erased as much as three months worth of gains and major support lines have been broken. What about “Big Brother?” Can China and its BRIC cousins lift the U.S. indexes to new highs? - 02-09-2010 |
| |
|
Real Unemployment 18 Percent - Will Stocks Falter? |
| The unemployment picture painted by today’s jobs report headlines is much rosier than reality. Yet, the Dow broke below 10,000 for the first time in months. The real unemployment number reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is much higher and scarier than they want you to believe. What's next? - 02-05-2010 |
| |
|
What Economic Indicators Are Really Telling Us |
| The past few weeks have been packed with economically sensitive pieces of information, such as job numbers, earnings and a host of other economic wet blankets. But what indicators really count and what really drives the stock market? - 02-04-2010 |
| |
|
Earnings - How Will They Affect The Market? |
| We've now seen disappointing earnings results from financial giants to old "brick and mortar" companies. There has been little reason for cheer. How will that affect stock prices and the Market? - 02-03-2010 |
| |
|
Is the Market Out-of-Sync with Main Street? |
| Consumer confidence rises from last month, yet Main Street continues to deliver bad news. Why the contradiction? - 01-29-2010 |
| |
|
Relief Rally or Further Declines – What’s Next? |
| How fast things can change on Wall Street. Less than two weeks ago, investors were counting their un-hatched profit eggs and expecting gains of 10%, 15% or more for 2010. After a 700 point drop, however, the confidence in higher prices has been dinged. Will another relief rally bring new highs or will we see a continuation of the decline? - 01-28-2010 |
| |
|
2010 Outlook for Stocks, Gold, Silver and US Dollar |
| If you are an emotional investor, chances are you’ve been buying stocks. Wall Street is cheering that buy-decision and promises higher prices ahead. But wait, the last time we heard prices were going up was in 2007. Let’s use old fashioned common sense to put together a solid 2010 forecast for the major asset classes. - 01-22-2010 |
| |
|
Up, Down or Sideways – What’s Next For Stocks? |
| Earnings season is upon us. Thus far we’ve seen stocks go up on bad and good news. What will it take to lift stocks further? Leading up to this earnings season, stocks have rallied 70%, is all the good news already baked in? Is there any more upside potential? - 01-20-2010 |
| |
|
Earnings - Will They Lift or Sink The Market? |
| It doesn’t happen often, but when it does, it’s a big deal – earnings season. This earnings season is unique in many different ways. High expectations and an already stretched market are sure to deliver surprises. Should you buy the rumor and sell the news? - 01-15-2010 |
| |
|
Is the January Winning Streak Over? |
| Until today, every trading day in January was an up day. Alcoa, the first company to report earnings, disappointed. Aside from positive earnings, what other factors could possibly drive up prices? Investors may have bought the rumor of higher prices, but should they sell before the (bad) news? - 01-12-2010 |
| |
|
BubbleWatch - Are Bonds and Real Estate at Risk? |
| The market dropped 55% in 2008, how could there be any bubbles? Even though none of the issues that caused the meltdown have been solved, stocks rallied 65% from their March 2009 lows. Toxic assets are still in the system and are likely to haunt investors in 2010. - 01-08-2010 |
| |
|
4 Major Economic Stumbling Blocks for 2010 |
| Smooth sailing would be a good description for most of last year’s stock performance. The same is not quite the case for the economy, but rising stocks are masking any problems there might be. Here are some stumbling blocks that could prove to be a deal breaker even for rising stocks. - 01-06-2010 |
| |
|
3 Money-Making Lessons Learned From 2009 |
| 2009 was beautiful, stocks were up and investors may conclude that no real lessons can be learned from the year's review. 2009 ended much the same way 2008 did, even investor sentiment was similar. However, 2008 was followed by a quick and painful meltdown, so there may be some beneficial lessons after all. - 01-04-2010 |
| |
|
Market Meter Track Record |
| The Market Meter provides a succinct short, mid and long-term forecast of the U.S. stock market. Below is a summary of recent Market Meter forecasts: - 01-01-2010 |
| |
|
How To Profit In Tough Markets |
| More than ever, investors are looking for RELIABLE guidance. Illustrated below is the impressive track record of the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter's Market Meter - 01-01-2010 |
| |
|
Will 2010 Be as Good as 2009? |
| If you would have done the opposite of what Wall Street was telling you since 2007, you would have avoided a major market crash and bought stocks ten months ago at Dow 6,500. Now again, Wall Street is saying “BUY” despite a 65% rally. Is this your cue to sell? - 12-29-2009 |
| |
|
Is The Market Rigged? |
| We are living in unique times. In fact, the market’s performance has been so “unique” that many believe the market is being manipulated. This may sound absurd if it wasn’t for an executive order Ronald Reagan put into place, designed to manipulate the stock market. - 12-18-2009 |
| |
| |
|
|
