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Playing By “The Rules”
Playing By “The Rules”
By, Kathleen Kosciolek
Nov 17, 2010
We have all heard the popular expression, I didn’t make the rules I’m just playing by them. It’s been used everywhere from the movies to backyard football, often in jest. Let’s examine how rules, although sometimes restrictive, can also save your game.
 

Recently, I was watching my son’s volleyball tournament for middle school.  Our team scored, but it appears in the volley a player may have touched the net, and the opposing team’s coach was disputing the point.  Suddenly, it was as if college scouts were hidng in the bushes the way everyone started unraveling. No one could come to an agreement. Then out came the rule book.  We waited patiently as middle aged dads ran for their 'readers' to focus on the fine print, finally - confirmation.  In the end, we gave up the point.

Rules, although inconvenient at times, do really have their place.  Is this true with the stock market? Absolutely!  Here are a few tested standards to live by as we maneuver the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) indexes:

1) Have a plan before entering any position in the market.  This should include a solid entry point, a stop loss percentage, gains percentage, and a solid foundation for why this equity/fund, and why now.

2) Use funds you don’t need to live on and can say goodbye to without deep despair.  Be realistic that you are trying to grow an investment.  It is not time to quit your day job. 

3) Stop loss orders:  You can place the parameters of a stop loss order at the time of market entry, or you can keep the point of sale in the back of your mind.  When you choose to execute a (stop) loss order, you must stick with your plan and not get emotional. Generally, a stop loss limit of 7% to 10% is what many traders recommend.

4) Sell orders: Don’t be afraid to lock in gains! Have in mind a percentage gain you’re willing to accept and be ready to pull the sell trigger when you reach it.  You can always buy back your investment at a lower price if it falls in value.

5) Emotional control: Like any drug, once the adrenalin surges, you start second guessing yourself. No one wants to sell at a 10% loss, but who wants to sell at a 25% loss or more? Stick to your plan.

If you follow these general guidelines, does it mean you will always come out on top? Not necessarily, but (at least) you will live to play another day.  As Albert Einstein aptly said, “You have to learn the rules of the game.  And then you have to play better than anyone else.”

Playing better means you have to also use your innate common sense.  This may translate into riding the market’s euphoria with the upside, while acknowledging today’s sobering economic conditions.  Are you rounding third base on a home run, the next ‘batter up’, a benchwarmer, or a spectator? A good equities opportunist learns to play all positions well at some time or another.

Have you been removed from your position more than once with stop loss orders?  It may be time to watch the game from the sidelines until the playoff season begins. Regardless of what happens in the future, being disciplined with your resources will leave you in a better position than those who play without rules.

As we learned during the tournament, you may lose a point to the rule book, but the rules may graciously give you the win in the end. 

 
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 Comments
EDITOR said on November 18, 2010
  FYI Community, Daryl is recovering from heart surgery. We miss his fine contributions just as much as everyone else. Hopefully he'll be back in the saddle soon. I know he's itching to write but health comes first.
 
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Larry said on November 18, 2010
  Where's Daryl? I miss reading his commentary.
 
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DoomAndGloom said on November 18, 2010
  It's great that you guys posted something positive to counter balance the negative viewpoints. I'm a centrist, so this sits well with me. GJ!
 
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Bob said on November 18, 2010
  Hi Mr. Editor,

The proof is in the pudding. Just look at the positive & negative comments for last three months posted by the readers. Please look at the ratings. Do you see any five stars or even four stars?

I am glad that you find my comments dull, counterproductive and bad. I think I got the point across. This will improve the quality of the articles.
 
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Jay said on November 18, 2010
  Simon, Thank you and I'll be ready in the morning. Your message is clearer to me now.
 
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Jay said on November 18, 2010
  Kathleen, Thank you for writing and sharing your ideas. I've paid good money to buy books for my library and they couldn't have said it better than you did about having rules. The stop loss rule is rule #1 by Investors Business Daily and that is a great rule to have in your plan. People who doubt that will lose big and be out of investing. They probably never heard of Kelly.
 
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Simon Maierhofer said on November 18, 2010
  Jay - Did you read tonights TF? It includes the one trade I think has the highest odds of paying off. In general, making money is not about what you are I want to do, it's about the opportunities the market gives us. If you want to make a trade RIGHT NOW, you are lowering the probabilities of winning. When there's no clear cut high prob. trade, it's best to wait.
 
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Jay said on November 18, 2010
  Simon, You know I have defended ETFGuide, but I'm confused right now. Should I buy shorts or stay in cash? Your R1 R2 S1 S2 is good info but I want suggestions on ETFs that are profitable over the next 10 days. Thanks. Perhaps Friday's newsletter will answer this.
 
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EDITOR said on November 18, 2010
  Thanks Groodle, we'll look into it.
 
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Groodle said on November 17, 2010
  Ron, I've posted several times on Simon's articles that you guys should be submitting your calls to TimerDigest.com, because

1) when you get it right, your rankings will give you exposure to a whole new set of subscribers.

and

2) the independent tracking that they offer will lend credibility to your publication.

 
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 Author Profile
Bullet Kathleen Kosciolek
 
 
  Kathleen has worked in the banking industry for several years. She has been an ETFguide team member for three years and is an active ETF Trader.
 
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