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How Probable Are the Chances for a Euro and Greece Divorce?

Have market participants underestimated the possibility of a divorce between Greece and the euro?

The chart below illustrates the market implied probabilities of a Greek default along with an exit from the euro (“GREXIT”) since late 2009. As you can see, up until early 2013, both scenarios moved in virtual lockstep with each other.

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Assets Flood to Europe

How did market participants react to the ECB’s 1.1 trillion euro QE-styled asset purchase plan? By pouring money into European stocks.

Europe focused stock ETFs (NYSEARCA:VGK) collectively raked in 65% of all global ETP asset flow last week, gaining just over $4 billion in new assets.

(Audio) Listen to Ron DeLegge @ The Index Investing Show

Despite reluctance by Germany (NYSEARCA:EWG),

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