Legendary speculator Bernard Baruch once quipped: “Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done except by liars.” Baruch was on to something. And since reams have been written and said about tops and bottoms in both individual securities along with broader markets (NYSEARCA:VTI), we can’t help but …
Do You Need to Buy at Market Bottoms to Get Profitable Results? Read More »
How difficult of a trading environment has 2016 been? It’s been so bad that BlackRock’s $1.9 billion global credit hedge fund is off to its worst yearly start in almost two decades. According to reports, the fund was hurt by crashing junk bonds (NYSEARCA:HYG) and spiraling crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) prices. Who saw that coming? And …
Although our era of discount brokers and commission free platforms has greatly reduced the cost of online trading, the cost of buy and selling stocks along with ETFs can still add up. This is especially true when stock market volatility (ChicagoOptions:^VIX) is rising. The chart below illustrates how historical bid-ask spreads (also known as “bid-offer spreads”) have widened …
Having an entrenched view is a good recipe for failure. And perhaps, there’s no better Wall Street case study than Peter Schiff, a precious metals permabull. Never mind his incorrect calls about a U.S. dollar collapse (NYSEARCA:UUP). On Feb. 13, 2013, Schiff stubbornly reiterated his bullish view of gold, being quoted – as his public …
Two questions: How wrong have experts been about the gold market this year? And how much money has their bad advice cost people? Let’s tackle the first question, by extracting and analyzing some recent headlines: “Gold Miners Fail to Launch” – Forbes, 5/14/14 “Gold Vulnerable to Manipulative Selloff in June” – Max Keiser, 5/30/14 “Why …
The gold market is the epitome of human psychosis.* On one hand, there’s the anti-gold camp that have utter disdain for precious metals 24 hours a day, eight days a week. On the other hand, there are the survivalist types, general goldbugs, and anti-Fed clan who live, breath, and eat gold at any price. Together, …
The gold/silver ratio has been on a fierce bullish run, what does it mean? This ratio measures the relative strength of gold compared to silver and is calculated by dividing one ounce of gold’s current price by one ounce of silver’s price. The gold/silver ratio boils down to how many ounces of silver you could …
Gold vs. Silver: Is the Ratio Bullish or Bearish? Read More »
After posting its first monthly decline of 2014, gold now trades near 7-week lows and the charts are looking ugly. As readers familiar with our research know, last year we were consistently bearish on gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) and precious metals (NYSEARCA:SLV) along with mining stocks (NYSEARCA:GDX). Last year, our largest ETF gainer was the Feb. 2013 …
If you drop a penny from your pocket, it will be a very small bounce. But if you drop the penny from atop the Empire State Building, the magnitude of the bounce will be great. In the case of mining stocks, that bounce from a very long and painful fall has been so great – …