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Are You Still Investing Without a Margin of Safety?

In retrospect, Brexit turned out to be more meaningful than¬†Grexit. And while the immediate reaction of global financial markets (NYSEARCA:VT) to the England’s decisive vote to leave the European Union (EU) was negative, it’s a stark reminder of why investing without a margin of safety is negligent.

With the exception of precious metals (NYSEARCA:GLTR),

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How Probable Are the Chances for a Euro and Greece Divorce?

Have market participants underestimated the possibility of a divorce between Greece and the euro?

The chart below illustrates the market implied probabilities of a Greek default along with an exit from the euro (“GREXIT”) since late 2009. As you can see, up until early 2013, both scenarios moved in virtual lockstep with each other.

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