ProShares

ETF Battles: NOBL vs. VYM – Which Dividend ETF is the Better Choice?

This is an excerpt of ETF Battles between NOBL vs. VYM – it’s a tussle between two dividend focused ETFs.  Who wins the battle? NOBL and VYM go against each other in key areas, including cost, yield and a mystery category Both funds own dividend stocks but with subtle and meaningful differences in strategy Both …

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ETF Battles: TQQQ vs. FNGU – A Duel Between Leveraged High Tech ETPs

This is an excerpt of ETF Battles between TQQQ vs. FNGU – it’s a duel between these technology leveraged ETPs.  Who wins the battle? TQQQ and FNGU go against each other in key categories, including cost, performance and a mystery category Both products track technology stocks with 300% or 3x daily leverage Both products have …

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PRC Calculation

How Bad Investments Sometimes Turn Out Good

Do good performing investments always start out good? The short answer is not necessarily. As proof, we showed ETFguide’s readers a real life example in the June 2015 issue of the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter. In that issue, we shared an incredible story about a 72-year old investor who converted a $95,000 investment made in two …

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Euro Bears Get Whipsawed

Selling pressure in the euro has been relentless over the past year and the currency has fallen just over 19% in value. Without surprise, pessimism toward the euro has been building. Look at these recent mainstream headlines: Delight or Dread as Euro Falls – New York Times (Mar. 11, 2015) Euro Sinks to 12-year Low – …

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Excessive Bullishness Toward Gold Points to a Retreat

Sentiment extremes, regardless of whether they’re bullish or bearish, invariably point to a readjustment in prices. This undeniable truth applies to all asset classes in all time frames.  Nothing is immune to the forces of crowd behavior. (See Beanie Babies and Pokemon cards) On Jan.23, 2015 the Wall Street Journal declared “Buyers Take a Shine to Metals Again.” When …

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How Probable Are the Chances for a Euro and Greece Divorce?

Have market participants underestimated the possibility of a divorce between Greece and the euro? The chart below illustrates the market implied probabilities of a Greek default along with an exit from the euro (“GREXIT”) since late 2009. As you can see, up until early 2013, both scenarios moved in virtual lockstep with each other. But …

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Are Momentum Stocks Losing Momentum?

Never mind how the U.S. stock market is posting modest year-to-date losses close to 2%. Momentum stocks are up and so is risk taking. A comparison of the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (NYSEARCA:MTUM) – a good proxy for the risk appetite of bullishly trending stocks – versus the S&P 500 (SNP:^GSPC) shows that momentum stocks have not …

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How Long Will Stock Market Volatility Stay Subdued?

Reader poll: What’s among the most depressed asset classes in the world? If you answered “volatility” you’re right on! The problem for volatility bulls (NYSEARCA:VXX) is we haven’t had a sustained level of stock market volatility.  That hardly means a lack of opportunities to profit from short-term volatility exist. The opposite in fact is true. The chart …

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BBQ Grill 2

Treasury Doomsayers Get Grilled by Hated Rally in Bond Prices

In late 2013 just before the Federal Reserve began its scaling back on monthly Treasury bond purchases, the conventional wisdom was that interest rates would rise and bond prices would fall. Invariably, the consensus opinion was – at it has been since “quantitative easing” or QE began in 2008 – that “interest rates have nowhere …

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