Blog Archives

The Art of Trading: How to Properly Buy and Sell ETFs

This is an excerpt from ETF Trading: The Art of Buying and Selling on ETFguide TV – an examination of how to properly time and place your ETF buy and sell orders. 

Trading volume for popular ETFs like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY),

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Are Equal Weight Indexes Bias-Free?

Over the past several years there’s been a lot of derogatory talk against traditional market cap weighted indexes.

And one of the oft-repeated arguments against traditional indexing that you’re guaranteed to read about or see is something like, “Market cap weighted indexes overweight overvalued large-cap stocks and underweight undervalued smaller-cap stocks.”

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The Stock Market’s Small Cap Problem

The extraordinary performance of U.S. stocks over the past six years has been like the 1960s Boston Celtics: Dominant and unbeatable. But is the tide changing?

From 2009 to present the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) has gained almost +135%, while the SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (NYSEARCA:MDY) surged +149.72% and the iShares S&P SmallCap 600 (NYSEARCA:IJR) jumped +153%.

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A Seasonal Snapshot of the S&P 500

Although we know market prices always trump seasonality in terms of importance, we shouldn’t completely ignore the significance of historical seasonal trends.

Since 1996, the S&P 500 (SNP:^GSPC) has ended higher during the month of January 55% of the time but with a flat return. This particular January appears to be an obvious divergence from this trend.

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Super Bowl Indicator: Bullish or Bearish?

Sometimes the quirkiest predictors of stock market performance are the most accurate. And for whatever reason, the Super Bowl Indicator fits that precise description.

It has scored an accuracy ratio of 81% over the past 48 Super Bowl games. How does it work?

If the NFC team wins,

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