SPY

ETF Battles: DIA vs. VOO – the Dow Jones Industrial Average meets the S&P 500, Which is Better?

This is an excerpt of a ETF Battles between the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) – it’s a U.S. stock market rumble! Who wins the battle? DIA and VOO face off in key areas, including cost, diversification, performance and a mystery category It’s the Dow Jones Industrial …

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Stock Market Pit

Are Equal Weight Indexes Bias-Free?

Over the past several years there’s been a lot of derogatory talk against traditional market cap weighted indexes. And one of the oft-repeated arguments against traditional indexing that you’re guaranteed to read about or see is something like, “Market cap weighted indexes overweight overvalued large-cap stocks and underweight undervalued smaller-cap stocks.” As a result of these arguments, there’s been a relentless …

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The Stock Market’s Small Cap Problem

The extraordinary performance of U.S. stocks over the past six years has been like the 1960s Boston Celtics: Dominant and unbeatable. But is the tide changing? From 2009 to present the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) has gained almost +135%, while the SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (NYSEARCA:MDY) surged +149.72% and the iShares S&P SmallCap 600 (NYSEARCA:IJR) jumped …

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A Seasonal Snapshot of the S&P 500

Although we know market prices always trump seasonality in terms of importance, we shouldn’t completely ignore the significance of historical seasonal trends. Since 1996, the S&P 500 (SNP:^GSPC) has ended higher during the month of January 55% of the time but with a flat return. This particular January appears to be an obvious divergence from this trend. …

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Super Bowl Indicator: Bullish or Bearish?

Sometimes the quirkiest predictors of stock market performance are the most accurate. And for whatever reason, the Super Bowl Indicator fits that precise description. It has scored an accuracy ratio of 81% over the past 48 Super Bowl games. How does it work? If the NFC team wins, the U.S. stock market (NYSEARCA:DIA) will end the …

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Volatility: Friend or Foe?

Stock market volatility is frequently portrayed as an evil force that all investors should strive to avoid. However, embracing volatility (ChicagoOptions:^VIX) rather than avoiding it can be extremely lucrative. On 12/17/14 we told our subscribers the following via our Weekly ETF Picks: “The VIX has been on a tear, gaining almost 40% since early December. Here’s …

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Is it Time for Stock Market Investors to Play Defense?

The U.S. stock market has gained five consecutive years and 9 out of the past 10 years. Put another way, an offensive oriented aggressive approach toward stocks has worked like a charm. Is it time for investors to start playing defense? (Audio) Listen to Ron DeLegge @ The Index Investing Show The consumers staples sector (NYSEARCA:XLP) …

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The Bull Market in U.S. Treasuries that Just Won’t Quit

Stocks around the globe are swooning and bonds are zooming. The almost 3% correction in the S&P 500 (SNP:^GSPC) over the past week has pushed long-term Treasury bond ETFs (NYSEARCA:TLT) higher by around 2.75%.  And just like that, the bull market in bonds that 100% of Wall Street’s economists said would end badly in 2014 …

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Lagging Small Cap Warning Sign For Stock Market?

Did You Miss This Year’s Biggest Investment Themes? Here’s Four

Keeping track of global macroeconomic trends is a daunting task. For that reason, each month we organize and rank the key market trends in our Mega Investment Theme Report by order of significance. Here’s a few of this year’s biggest themes: Commodities Get Crushed All of the hyper-inflationary dreams of commodity bulls have been shot dead. As a …

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Fairytale

Slaying Fiction about Gold and QE

Assassinating financial fairytales is something I enjoy doing. And the precious metals (NYSEARCA:GLTR) market is jam-packed with fiction of all sizes, flavors, and colors. One of the biggest pieces of financial propaganda promoted over the past several years is that massive monetary stimulus by the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank (also known as “quantitative easing” or …

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Portfolio Management 3

Rules for Trading Leveraged ETFs

If you think the stock market is a volatile place, you ought to get a load of ETFs that use leverage. From Oct. 10 to Oct. 15, the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF (NYSEARCA:SPXL) collapsed 10.07%. But from Oct. 15 through today, SPXL soared 13.40%. That’s a breathtaking swing of 23.47% from negative …

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Car Crash 1

One Rally That Has Blindsided Wall Street’s Throngs

It seems nobody on Wall Street can stop talking about how the S&P 500 just breached its 200-day moving average for the first time since November 2012. From bedazzled TV anchors to nouveau bears, it’s suddenly everybody’s favorite chart, minus Abby Joseph Cohen. The other chart nobody wants to discuss is the significant outperformance of …

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Stop Sign Crossing

Are Junk Bonds Signaling Pause in Equity Rally?

What does the bond market know that the stock market doesn’t? Even the U.S. stocks (NYSEARCA:IWV) have been scoring one record high after another, the SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:JNK) has gone in the opposite direction. The performance divergence between high yield bonds (also known as “junk bonds) (NYSEARCA:HYG) and the S&P 500 …

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Is this the Weakest Bull Market in History?

“Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, one by one,” said Charles MacKay in his classic book the Madness of Crowds. A closer examination of the U.S. stock market’s (NasdaqGM:QQQ) action shows how the herd is …

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Are Corporate Earnings Being Gamed?

Are corporate earnings really as great as the executives at the helm and Wall Street want us to believe? Over 70% of S&P 500 (^GSPC) companies that have already reported beat analysts’ earnings estimates during the fourth quarter. Furthermore, 66% reported higher sales revenue, which is above four year averages, according to FactSet.  Equity permabulls …

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Have Bullish Sentiment Extremes Caught Up with Stocks?

Memo to equity bulls: 2014 is not 2013. And thus far, it’s been a bumpy road for stocks. The  S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) broke below 1,800 for the first time this year. Have bullish sentiment extremes finally caught up with the stock market? AUDIO: Listen to Ron DeLegge @ The Index Investing Show Via our Technical …

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This Seasonal Trend has been a Slam Dunk

In the winter it snows and in the spring flowers bloom.  It’s one of those things you can always count on. And like nature, the stock market, has its own set of yearly trends. One of the market’s strongest seasonal forces that has been a slam dunk this year is something called the “January Effect.” …

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