vix

ETF Battles: USMV vs. SPLV Who Wins?

This is an excerpt from ETF Battles on ETFguide TV between USMV vs. SPLV – two volatility minimizing stock ETFs. Who wins the battle? Stock market volatility per the CBOE S&P 500 VIX Index (VIX) has skyrocketed in 2020. In mid-March, the VIX jumped near +500% and has since backed off. Nevertheless, daily volatility remains …

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3 Strategies for Managing Higher Volatility

“Everyone has the brain power to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach,” once observed legendary fund manager Peter Lynch. His point was that most people don’t have the stomach – or emotional stamina – for sticking to an investment plan when market conditions get choppy. What makes 2018 remarkably different from the …

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Risk and Volatility: Know the Difference

On financial networks and in finance classrooms around the globe, stock market volatility is routinely mis-classified as “risk.”  Unfortunately, this erroneous view causes people to make investment mistakes. Elroy Dimson, a London Business School professor once wrote, that risk “means more things can happen than will happen.” It’s an eloquent way for describing risk, which …

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Don’t Count on the Fed to Backstop Your Investments

Yes kids, stock prices can sometimes plummet. And they did during the first trading session of 2016. It’s a helpful reminder to forgetful innocents about this unforgiving fact. The chart below shows how the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) has declined 1.65% over the past month. That in itself isn’t disastrous, but stock market volatility (ChicagoOptions:^VIX) …

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PRC Calculation

How Bad Investments Sometimes Turn Out Good

Do good performing investments always start out good? The short answer is not necessarily. As proof, we showed ETFguide’s readers a real life example in the June 2015 issue of the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter. In that issue, we shared an incredible story about a 72-year old investor who converted a $95,000 investment made in two …

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Ocean Waves

Is Elevated Volatility on Modest Losses Normal?

Stock market volatility creeps up when most investors least expect it. But even more intriguing about the latest upward explosion in equity volatility is that it occurred on small percentage losses in major stock index benchmarks like the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) and Russell Small Cap 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM). (Audio) Portfolio Report Card: Diseccting a $1.2 Million …

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Ocean Waves

Volatility Sleeps, Risk Doesn’t

Higher stock prices (NYSEARCA:DIA) have kept a lid on stock market volatility. The S&P 500 volatility index (ChicagoOptions:^VIX), also known as the “fear index,” has now fallen around 17% over the past month and is back below its 200-day moving average. Does the stock market’s general lack of fear mean that volatility has reached a permanently low …

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Volatility: Friend or Foe?

Stock market volatility is frequently portrayed as an evil force that all investors should strive to avoid. However, embracing volatility (ChicagoOptions:^VIX) rather than avoiding it can be extremely lucrative. On 12/17/14 we told our subscribers the following via our Weekly ETF Picks: “The VIX has been on a tear, gaining almost 40% since early December. Here’s …

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Is the Table for Higher Stock Market Volatility Set?

Rising stock market volatility on the heels of rising stock prices is among the most intriguing market developments over the past few months. And it’s gone little noticed by the mainstream financial media. Our chart below shows how this phenomenon has unfolded. Do you notice how the total U.S. stock market (NYSEARCA:VTI) and the S&P 500 (ChicagoOptions:^GSPC) …

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How Long Will Stock Market Volatility Stay Subdued?

Reader poll: What’s among the most depressed asset classes in the world? If you answered “volatility” you’re right on! The problem for volatility bulls (NYSEARCA:VXX) is we haven’t had a sustained level of stock market volatility.  That hardly means a lack of opportunities to profit from short-term volatility exist. The opposite in fact is true. The chart …

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Race Cars 2

Psst…Volatility is Still Outperforming the S&P 500

One week after the VIX (ChicagoOptions:^VIX) spiked to 30, Wall Street’s Kool-Aid drunks are back to saying that stock market volatility is over. It’s done. And it’s never returning. The Santa Claus rally in small cap stocks (NYSEARCA:IWM) and technology shares (NYSEARCA:XLK) smack dab in the middle of October, now has Sand Hill road (Silicon …

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Ocean Waves

Is Swelling Volatility on Modest Declines Bullish?

It’s been three years since the last significant stock market decline. The 19% slide from April 2011 to October 2011 stoked fear, but still missed the official definition of 20% bear market. This time around, it’s still too early to know whether the modest pullback in the S&P 500 (SNP:^GSPC) that began several months ago …

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Ocean Waves

Don’t Miss the Next Volatility Wave

One of the most dominant narratives today is that stock market volatility has gone completely away and is never returning. Is it true? A research paper titled, “Stock Market Volatility during the 2008 Financial Crisis” by Kiran Manda at the Stern School of Business, New York University observed: “From 2004 to early 2007, the financial …

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Sleeping Bear

Equity Bearishness Sinks to 20 Year Lows

Is pessimism about the stock market really as high as equity bulls claim? One measure of the stock market’s mood is the Investor’s Intelligence Sentiment Index, which offers us a compact view of how market participants feel toward stocks. The latest II data shows that bearish sentiment or pessimism toward stocks (NYSEARCA:IVV) has now hit …

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Fairytale

The No Market Volatility Fairytale

Has 2014 stock market volatility really gone the way of dodo birds and dinosaurs as claimed? The news du jour is that falling VIX means that stock market volatility (NYSEARCA:SPY) is non-existent. Is it true? Recent headlines give this innuendo. Here’s a tiny sample: VIX Tumbles to 9-month Lows – Zerohedge VIX Volatility Index Falls …

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Ocean Waves

Is Stock Market Volatility Increasing?

Is stock market volatility rising or falling? For most of this year, stock market volatility has actually outperformed the stock market itself. But for whatever reason, it’s an unpopular narrative that’s been and continues to be ignored by the mainstream media. The chart below illustrates the relationship between stocks and volatility in 2014. You’ll notice how the S&P …

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Poof! S&P 500 Erases YTD Gains

Was the S&P 500 the last proverbial man standing? Today’s -2.09% clobbering officially wiped out the S&P 500’s (NYSEARCA:IVV) YTD gain.  Put another way, three-months of gains were lost in single trading session! (See chart below) The swift decline doesn’t come as a surprise to our readers, as we’ve been warning about the stock market’s …

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Fireworks 1

Ready for the Next Surge in Volatility?

Is another surge in stock market fear and volatility ahead? Will you be ready when it happens? “Public psychology is the most important single factor in shaping security markets,” said Gerald Loeb. Loeb was right and that’s why we make it a regular habit at ETFguide to track movements and trading opportunities in the CBOE …

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Stock Market Fear is Tapering, Greed is Back

The stock market’s wild mood swings from fear to greed and back are in full swing again. And this time around, the investing public’s fear of missing out on potential stock gains is greater than its fear of losing money. The latest Fear and Greed Index shows that stock market greed is now at extreme …

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Does the Sleeping Giant (VIX) Have More Upside?

Like a sleeping giant, stock market volatility can hibernate, but it never goes away. Right now, the giant is showing signs of awakening and whether the beast completely tramples the city is yet to be determined. Although the S&P 500 (^GSPC) hit all-time highs near 1,859 last week, a number of flashing indicators we’ve written …

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